Value bet: Polonia Bytom to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Bytom to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chancePolonia Bytom or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Polonia Bytom take on Pogoń Siedlce on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii Bytom. Polonia Bytom are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Pogoń Siedlce sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Polonia Bytom and 0.8 for Pogoń Siedlce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Polonia Bytom to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Polonia Bytom 2–0 Pogoń Siedlce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Bytom64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.75
Pogoń Siedlce12%fair 8.53 · @4.33
2.71Expected goals
1.95Polonia Bytom xG
0.76Pogoń Siedlce xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 2.0 – 0.8 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Polonia Bytom or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Polonia Bytom ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Polonia Bytom – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogoń Siedlce – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Siedlce.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogoń Siedlce 12%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 2–0 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii Bytom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Slask Wroclaw3