PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
PSV Eindhoven host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Philips Stadion. PSV Eindhoven are 1st with 26 points from 12 games (top of the table), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PSV Eindhoven's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Telstar 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
PEC Zwolle's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Excelsior 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
PEC Zwolle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.8 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.1 for PEC Zwolle. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSV Eindhoven70%fair 1.42 · @1.21
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @6.75
PEC Zwolle11%fair 8.85 · @11.00
3.94Expected goals
2.80PSV Eindhoven xG
1.14PEC Zwolle xG
62%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 2.8 – 1.1 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
70%
1.42
1.21
Double chance
PSV Eindhoven or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
PSV Eindhoven – last 3
LLL
22 Mar
@ Telstar
1–3
L
3 Mar
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ FC Volendam
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 6
DLDDDD
12 Apr
vs Excelsior
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ GO Ahead Eagles
0–5
L
13 Mar
vs Groningen
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Ajax
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and PEC Zwolle 11%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
