Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPEC Zwolle to win ✗39% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees PEC Zwolle take on Groningen on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at IJsseldelta Stadion. PEC Zwolle are 13th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Groningen sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PEC Zwolle's last 4: DDDL Most recently they drew with Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for PEC Zwolle and 1.5 for Groningen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PEC Zwolle39%fair 2.56 · @2.64
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Groningen39%fair 2.58 · @2.38
3.01Expected goals
1.51PEC Zwolle xG
1.50Groningen xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.5 – 1.5 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PEC Zwolle to win✗
39%
2.56
2.64
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PEC Zwolle / FT PEC Zwolle✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
PEC Zwolle – last 4
DDDL
8 Mar
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Ajax
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Heerenveen
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 2
LL
1 Mar
@ FC Volendam
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and Groningen.
What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Groningen 39%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
PEC Zwolle vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at IJsseldelta Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
