Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sparta Rotterdam to win @ 1.71 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗64% · @1.71
Double chanceSparta Rotterdam or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
PEC Zwolle travel to Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel in the Eredivisie on Sunday 8 March (12:15 WAT) to face Sparta Rotterdam. Sparta Rotterdam are 12th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PEC Zwolle's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Ajax 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.0 for PEC Zwolle. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
Safer route: Sparta Rotterdam or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Sparta Rotterdam to win at 1.71 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Rotterdam or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Rotterdam64%fair 1.56 · @1.71
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.10
PEC Zwolle18%fair 5.62 · @4.20
3.15Expected goals
2.14Sparta Rotterdam xG
1.01PEC Zwolle xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sparta Rotterdam 2.1 – 1.0 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Rotterdam to win✗
64%
1.56
1.71 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Rotterdam or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Half-time result
Sparta Rotterdam ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Rotterdam / FT Sparta Rotterdam✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Sparta Rotterdam – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 3
DDL
1 Mar
vs Ajax
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Heerenveen
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle.
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Sparta Rotterdam or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and PEC Zwolle 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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