Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
Fortuna Sittard host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Fortuna Sittard are 7th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Excelsior sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.4 for Excelsior. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Sittard40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Excelsior37%fair 2.70 · @2.85
2.90Expected goals
1.49Fortuna Sittard xG
1.41Excelsior xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.5 – 1.4 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Sittard to win✓
40%
2.48
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.63
–
Form
Fortuna Sittard
No recent results on record.
Excelsior
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Excelsior 37%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
