Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza preview and prediction
The match
Arka Gdynia host Nieciecza in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 18 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Form guide
Arka Gdynia's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Gornik Zabrze 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nieciecza's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to GKS Katowice 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Arka Gdynia and 0.9 for Nieciecza. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arka Gdynia 60%, draw 24%, Nieciecza 16%.
Safer route: Arka Gdynia or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arka Gdynia or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arka Gdynia 1–0 Nieciecza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arka Gdynia60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
Nieciecza16%fair 6.29 · @4.20
2.93Expected goals
1.98Arka Gdynia xG
0.95Nieciecza xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 2.0 – 0.9 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Arka Gdynia or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Arka Gdynia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DDLDWL
13 May
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
8 May
@ Lech Poznan
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Piast Gliwice
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Korona Kielce
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nieciecza – last 6
LWLWLL
3 May
@ GKS Katowice
1–4
L
24 Apr
@ Zaglebie Lubin
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Wisla Plock
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Piast Gliwice
3–2
W
22 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–4
L
13 Mar
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Nieciecza.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
Our pick is Arka Gdynia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nieciecza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–0 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
