Value bet: Radomiak Radom to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCracovia Krakow to win ✗41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom preview and prediction
The match
Cracovia Krakow host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium. Cracovia Krakow are 15th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Radomiak Radom sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cracovia Krakow's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Zaglebie Lubin 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Radomiak Radom's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Lechia Gdansk 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Radomiak Radom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Cracovia Krakow and 1.3 for Radomiak Radom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cracovia Krakow 41%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Radomiak Radom to win at 3.65 – 37% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Radomiak Radom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cracovia Krakow41%fair 2.46 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Radomiak Radom37%fair 2.73 · @3.65
2.69Expected goals
1.39Cracovia Krakow xG
1.30Radomiak Radom xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cracovia Krakow 1.4 – 1.3 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cracovia Krakow to win✗
41%
2.46
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cracovia Krakow / FT Cracovia Krakow✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Cracovia Krakow – last 5
DLDLD
3 May
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Arka Gdynia
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Piast Gliwice
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Radomiak Radom – last 6
WWDLDL
4 May
vs Lechia Gdansk
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Wisla Plock
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Motor Lublin
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Piast Gliwice
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cracovia Krakow and Radomiak Radom.
What is the prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
On our numbers Cracovia Krakow have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Radomiak Radom 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
Our predicted score is Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom?
Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
