Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLech Poznan to win47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–09% · fair 10.58
Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Lech Poznan take on Legia Warszawa on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Poznan. Lech Poznan are 1st with 32 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lech Poznan's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Nieciecza 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Legia Warszawa's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Lech Poznan and 1.2 for Legia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lech Poznan 47%, draw 20%, Legia Warszawa 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Legia Warszawa to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lech Poznan 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lech Poznan47%fair 2.12 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Legia Warszawa33%fair 3.06 · @3.45
2.81Expected goals
1.56Lech Poznan xG
1.24Legia Warszawa xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 1.6 – 1.2 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win
47%
2.12
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
9%
10.58
–
Form
Lech Poznan – last 6
WWWLLW
22 Mar
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 5
WWDDD
17 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Legia Warszawa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
