Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin preview and prediction
The match
Pogon Szczecin travel to Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 13 April (18:00 WAT) to face Piast Gliwice. Piast Gliwice are 7th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pogon Szczecin sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Piast Gliwice's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Nieciecza 2–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Pogon Szczecin's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Legia Warszawa 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Piast Gliwice and 1.3 for Pogon Szczecin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piast Gliwice45%fair 2.23 · @2.18
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Pogon Szczecin35%fair 2.89 · @3.05
2.76Expected goals
1.49Piast Gliwice xG
1.27Pogon Szczecin xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.5 – 1.3 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
45%
2.23
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Piast Gliwice – last 5
LWWLL
6 Apr
@ Nieciecza
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Cracovia Krakow
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 4
LWLW
6 Apr
vs Legia Warszawa
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Korona Kielce
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogon Szczecin 35%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
