Value bet: Zaglebie Lubin to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotor Lublin to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Motor Lublin take on Zaglebie Lubin on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Motor Lublin Arena. Motor Lublin are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Motor Lublin's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Nieciecza 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Zaglebie Lubin's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Motor Lublin and 1.2 for Zaglebie Lubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Motor Lublin 48%, draw 21%, Zaglebie Lubin 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Zaglebie Lubin to win at 3.50 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Motor Lublin 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motor Lublin48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Zaglebie Lubin31%fair 3.20 · @3.50
2.78Expected goals
1.58Motor Lublin xG
1.20Zaglebie Lubin xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.6 – 1.2 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motor Lublin to win✓
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motor Lublin / FT Motor Lublin✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Motor Lublin – last 4
WDWL
13 Mar
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 3
LWW
15 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Wisla Plock
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zaglebie Lubin 31%.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
