Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Motor Lublin to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotor Lublin to win ✓44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.19
Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Nieciecza take on Motor Lublin on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Radomiak Radom 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Motor Lublin's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Gornik Zabrze 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Motor Lublin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Nieciecza and 1.6 for Motor Lublin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nieciecza 35%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Motor Lublin to win at 2.65 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–1 Motor Lublin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza35%fair 2.83 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Motor Lublin44%fair 2.25 · @2.65
2.96Expected goals
1.38Nieciecza xG
1.58Motor Lublin xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.4 – 1.6 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motor Lublin to win✓
44%
2.25
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motor Lublin / FT Motor Lublin✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.19
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 3
DWL
8 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Motor Lublin 44%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin?
Nieciecza vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
