Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
Korona Kielce travel to Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 16 March (19:00 WAT) to face Pogon Szczecin. Pogon Szczecin are 4th with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Korona Kielce sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.2 for Korona Kielce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 20%, Korona Kielce 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogon Szczecin49%fair 2.06 · @2.02
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
Korona Kielce31%fair 3.23 · @3.40
2.71Expected goals
1.55Pogon Szczecin xG
1.16Korona Kielce xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.5 – 1.2 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogon Szczecin to win✓
49%
2.06
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.68
–
Form
Pogon Szczecin – last 2
LW
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Radomiak Radom
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Korona Kielce 31%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
