Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa preview and prediction
The match
Raków Częstochowa travel to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 15 March (17:30 WAT) to face Gornik Zabrze. Gornik Zabrze are 2nd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Raków Częstochowa sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gornik Zabrze's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Motor Lublin 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Fiorentina 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.3 for Raków Częstochowa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gornik Zabrze38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Raków Częstochowa37%fair 2.67 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.32Gornik Zabrze xG
1.31Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 1.3 – 1.3 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✓
38%
2.61
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Gornik Zabrze – last 3
DWD
8 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Nieciecza
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 5
LWDLW
12 Mar
@ Fiorentina
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Avia Świdnik
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs Nieciecza
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Raków Częstochowa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Gornik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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