Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia preview and prediction
The match
Lechia Gdansk host Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk.
Form guide
Lechia Gdansk's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Arka Gdynia 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Jagiellonia's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Legia Warszawa 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Lechia Gdansk and 1.7 for Jagiellonia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Jagiellonia to win at 2.60 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Jagiellonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia Gdansk36%fair 2.74 · @2.44
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Jagiellonia41%fair 2.43 · @2.60
3.22Expected goals
1.56Lechia Gdansk xG
1.67Jagiellonia xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 1.6 – 1.7 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
41%
2.43
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Lechia Gdansk – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Arka Gdynia
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 4
DWDL
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Gdansk and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jagiellonia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
