Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Arka Gdynia take on Lechia Gdansk on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadion GOSiR.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Arka Gdynia and 1.6 for Lechia Gdansk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arka Gdynia 34%, draw 24%, Lechia Gdansk 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Lechia Gdansk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arka Gdynia34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Lechia Gdansk42%fair 2.40 · @2.52
2.93Expected goals
1.38Arka Gdynia xG
1.55Lechia Gdansk xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.4 – 1.6 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia Gdansk to win✗
42%
2.40
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia Gdansk / FT Lechia Gdansk✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
Arka Gdynia – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lechia Gdansk – last 2
LW
23 Feb
vs Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Lechia Gdansk.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lechia Gdansk 42%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk?
Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOSiR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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