Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Piast Gliwice take on Motor Lublin on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach. Piast Gliwice are 7th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Motor Lublin sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Piast Gliwice and 1.1 for Motor Lublin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piast Gliwice 46%, draw 22%, Motor Lublin 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Motor Lublin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piast Gliwice46%fair 2.17 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Motor Lublin32%fair 3.13 · @3.25
2.59Expected goals
1.45Piast Gliwice xG
1.14Motor Lublin xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.4 – 1.1 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
46%
2.17
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.19
–
Form
Piast Gliwice – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motor Lublin 32%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin?
Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
