Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Jagiellonia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 1.84 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win ✗58% · @1.84
Double chanceJagiellonia or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Chorten Arena. Jagiellonia are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Radomiak Radom sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Jagiellonia and 1.1 for Radomiak Radom. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jagiellonia 58%, draw 22%, Radomiak Radom 20%.
Safer route: Jagiellonia or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Jagiellonia to win at 1.84 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jagiellonia or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 1–1 Radomiak Radom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia58%fair 1.73 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
Radomiak Radom20%fair 4.91 · @3.85
3.06Expected goals
1.97Jagiellonia xG
1.09Radomiak Radom xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 2.0 – 1.1 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
58%
1.73
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Jagiellonia or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Jagiellonia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 1
L
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Radomiak Radom – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Korona Kielce
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Radomiak Radom.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
Our pick is Jagiellonia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Radomiak Radom 20%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom?
Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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