Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Paks to win @ 1.94 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaks to win ✓61% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Paks vs Puskas Academy preview and prediction
The match
Paks host Puskas Academy in the NB I on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Fehervari uti Stadion. Paks are 5th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Puskas Academy sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Puskas Academy's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Ferencvarosi TC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Paks and 1.0 for Puskas Academy. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paks 61%, draw 16%, Puskas Academy 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Paks to win at 1.94 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Paks 1–1 Puskas Academy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paks61%fair 1.65 · @1.94
Draw16%fair 6.06 · @3.60
Puskas Academy23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
2.98Expected goals
1.93Paks xG
1.05Puskas Academy xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Paks 1.9 – 1.0 Puskas Academy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paks to win✓
61%
1.65
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Paks ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paks / FT Paks✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Paks – last 2
WL
20 Mar
@ MTK Budapest
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gyori ETO FC
3–4
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puskas Academy – last 6
LLWDLL
14 Apr
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs Gyori ETO FC
1–4
L
5 Apr
@ Diosgyori VTK
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Debreceni VSC
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Kisvarda FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nyiregyhaza
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paks and Puskas Academy.
What is the prediction for Paks vs Puskas Academy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paks vs Puskas Academy?
On our numbers Paks have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Puskas Academy 23%.
How many goals will there be in Paks vs Puskas Academy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paks vs Puskas Academy?
Our predicted score is Paks 1–1 Puskas Academy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paks vs Puskas Academy?
Paks vs Puskas Academy (NB I) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Fehervari uti Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
