Value bet: Aarhus Fremad to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalborg to win ✗44% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad preview and prediction
The match
Aalborg host Aarhus Fremad in the 1. Division on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Aalborg Portland Park. Aalborg are 6th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Aarhus Fremad sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Aalborg and 1.4 for Aarhus Fremad. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Aarhus Fremad to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aalborg 1–1 Aarhus Fremad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalborg44%fair 2.29 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
Aarhus Fremad36%fair 2.80 · @3.40
2.95Expected goals
1.56Aalborg xG
1.38Aarhus Fremad xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Aalborg 1.6 – 1.4 Aarhus Fremad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalborg to win✗
44%
2.29
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalborg / FT Aalborg✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Aalborg – last 2
DL
27 Feb
vs Hillerød
3–3
D
20 Feb
@ Sandefjord
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Aarhus Fremad – last 1
D
20 Feb
@ Hobro
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalborg and Aarhus Fremad.
What is the prediction for Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
On our numbers Aalborg have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aarhus Fremad 36%.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–1 Aarhus Fremad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
