Value bet: HB Koge to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHobro to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Hobro vs HB Koge preview and prediction
The match
HB Koge travel to DS Arena in the 1. Division on Friday 27 February (18:00 WAT) to face Hobro. Hobro are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while HB Koge sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Hobro and 1.3 for HB Koge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hobro 45%, draw 22%, HB Koge 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: HB Koge to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Hobro 1–1 HB Koge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hobro45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
HB Koge34%fair 2.97 · @3.25
2.77Expected goals
1.50Hobro xG
1.26HB Koge xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hobro 1.5 – 1.3 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hobro to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hobro / FT Hobro✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Hobro – last 2
DL
20 Feb
vs Aarhus Fremad
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
HB Koge – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–0
W
14 Feb
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hobro and HB Koge.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hobro vs HB Koge?
On our numbers Hobro have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HB Koge 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hobro vs HB Koge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hobro vs HB Koge?
Our predicted score is Hobro 1–1 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hobro vs HB Koge?
Hobro vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at DS Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
B 931
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