Value bet: Esbjerg to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAC Horsens to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Esbjerg vs AC Horsens preview and prediction
The match
Esbjerg host AC Horsens in the 1. Division on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Blue Water Arena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Esbjerg and 1.5 for AC Horsens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esbjerg 32%, draw 22%, AC Horsens 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Esbjerg to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Esbjerg 1–1 AC Horsens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esbjerg32%fair 3.11 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
AC Horsens46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
2.60Expected goals
1.15Esbjerg xG
1.45AC Horsens xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.1 – 1.5 AC Horsens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Horsens to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Horsens / FT AC Horsens✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Esbjerg
No recent results on record.
AC Horsens – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Zbrojovka Brno
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esbjerg and AC Horsens.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AC Horsens 46%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–1 AC Horsens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
Esbjerg vs AC Horsens (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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