Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceAston Villa or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Aston Villa vs Sunderland preview and prediction
The match
Sunderland travel to Villa Park in the Premier League on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT) to face Aston Villa. Aston Villa are 10th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Bologna 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sunderland's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Newcastle 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Aston Villa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Aston Villa and 0.7 for Sunderland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa 67%, draw 20%, Sunderland 14%.
Safer route: Aston Villa or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aston Villa to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aston Villa 1–0 Sunderland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.70
Sunderland14%fair 7.27 · @4.70
2.49Expected goals
1.84Aston Villa xG
0.66Sunderland xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.8 – 0.7 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✓
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Aston Villa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Aston Villa ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Form
Aston Villa – last 6
WWWWLW
16 Apr
vs Bologna
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Bologna
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs West Ham
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Lille
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Manchester United
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Lille
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sunderland – last 6
WLWDLW
22 Mar
@ Newcastle
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Leeds
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Fulham
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Oxford United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Sunderland.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Aston Villa to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sunderland 14%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1–0 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Aston Villa vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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