Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester United to win ✗69% · @1.55
Double chanceManchester United or draw ✗91% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Manchester United vs Leeds preview and prediction
The match
Manchester United host Leeds in the Premier League on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Old Trafford. Manchester United are 18th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Leeds sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Manchester United's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Bournemouth 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Leeds's last 4: DWLD Most recently they drew with Crystal Palace 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Manchester United and 0.7 for Leeds. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manchester United 69%, draw 21%, Leeds 9%.
Safer route: Manchester United or draw (91%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Manchester United 2–0 Leeds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manchester United69%fair 1.44 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.10
Leeds9%fair 10.58 · @5.60
2.95Expected goals
2.21Manchester United xG
0.74Leeds xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Manchester United 2.2 – 0.7 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✗
69%
1.44
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Manchester United or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Manchester United ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Manchester United – last 5
DWLWW
20 Mar
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Aston Villa
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Everton
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Leeds – last 4
DWLD
15 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Norwich
3–0
W
3 Mar
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Aston Villa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Leeds.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Leeds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manchester United vs Leeds?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leeds 9%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Leeds?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 2–0 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Leeds?
Manchester United vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
