Bournemouth vs Manchester United prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester United to win ✗45% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Bournemouth vs Manchester United preview and prediction
The match
Bournemouth host Manchester United in the Premier League on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Manchester United sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Manchester United's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Aston Villa 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Bournemouth and 1.7 for Manchester United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bournemouth 35%, draw 20%, Manchester United 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Bournemouth to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bournemouth35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Manchester United45%fair 2.21 · @2.06
3.11Expected goals
1.43Bournemouth xG
1.68Manchester United xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.4 – 1.7 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✗
45%
2.21
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Bournemouth – last 2
DD
3 Mar
vs Brentford
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 4
WLWW
15 Mar
vs Aston Villa
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Everton
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Manchester United 45%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Bournemouth vs Manchester United (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
