Sunderland host Fulham in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadium of Light. Sunderland are 19th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Fulham sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sunderland and 1.2 for Fulham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sunderland 1–1 Fulham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland39%fair 2.56 · @2.66
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Fulham37%fair 2.74 · @2.66
2.48Expected goals
1.27Sunderland xG
1.22Fulham xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.3 – 1.2 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland to win✗
39%
2.56
2.66
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland / FT Sunderland✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Sunderland – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Oxford United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fulham – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Stoke City
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Fulham.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fulham 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Fulham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–1 Fulham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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