The Serie A sees Inter take on AS Roma on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Inter are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Inter's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Como 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AS Roma's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Bologna 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
AS Roma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Inter and 0.8 for AS Roma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter 60%, draw 21%, AS Roma 19%.
Safer route: Inter or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Inter 1–0 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter60%fair 1.67 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
AS Roma19%fair 5.16 · @5.10
2.58Expected goals
1.74Inter xG
0.84AS Roma xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Inter 1.7 – 0.8 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Inter – last 3
DLL
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
DLDLWD
19 Mar
vs Bologna
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Como
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bologna
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Genoa
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and AS Roma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Inter vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Inter have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AS Roma 19%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Inter 1–0 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Inter vs AS Roma?
Inter vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese1
Pisa0