Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapoli to win ✓62% · @1.56
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.46
Napoli vs Torino preview and prediction
The match
Napoli host Torino in the Serie A on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Torino sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Torino's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Lazio 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Napoli and 0.8 for Torino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napoli 62%, draw 21%, Torino 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Napoli 1–0 Torino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napoli62%fair 1.62 · @1.56
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.75
Torino18%fair 5.71 · @6.20
2.56Expected goals
1.77Napoli xG
0.79Torino xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.8 – 0.8 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
62%
1.62
1.56
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.46
–
Form
Napoli – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Torino – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
vs Lazio
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Genoa
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Bologna
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Torino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Napoli vs Torino?
On our numbers Napoli have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torino 18%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Torino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Torino?
Napoli vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
