The Serie A sees Sassuolo take on Atalanta on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Atalanta sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atalanta's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Borussia Dortmund 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Sassuolo and 1.5 for Atalanta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sassuolo 1–1 Atalanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo29%fair 3.45 · @3.65
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Atalanta50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
2.55Expected goals
1.05Sassuolo xG
1.50Atalanta xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.1 – 1.5 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Sassuolo – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Verona
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Udinese
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 3
WWL
25 Feb
vs Borussia Dortmund
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Napoli
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Atalanta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atalanta 50%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
Sassuolo vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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