Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 3.35 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCagliari to win ✗38% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Parma vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Parma take on Cagliari on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Parma are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Cagliari sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Parma and 1.1 for Cagliari. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma 36%, draw 27%, Cagliari 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Cagliari to win at 3.35 – 38% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Parma 1–1 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma36%fair 2.81 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.86
Cagliari38%fair 2.67 · @3.35
2.17Expected goals
1.07Parma xG
1.10Cagliari xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Parma 1.1 – 1.1 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
38%
2.67
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Parma – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Cagliari.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Parma vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Parma have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cagliari 38%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Cagliari?
Parma vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
