The Serie A sees Fiorentina take on Pisa on Monday 23 February, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Fiorentina and 1.1 for Pisa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiorentina 61%, draw 22%, Pisa 17%.
Safer route: Fiorentina or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fiorentina 2–1 Pisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina61%fair 1.65 · @1.63
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.80
Pisa17%fair 5.90 · @5.20
3.06Expected goals
2.00Fiorentina xG
1.06Pisa xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 2.0 – 1.1 Pisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✓
61%
1.65
1.63
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Half-time result
Fiorentina ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Fiorentina – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Jagiellonia
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pisa – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Pisa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Pisa?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pisa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Pisa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Pisa?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–1 Pisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Pisa?
Fiorentina vs Pisa (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
