Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21 prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Netherlands U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.29Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNetherlands U21 to win ✓66% · @1.29
Double chanceNetherlands U21 or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21 preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA U21 Championship Qualification sees Slovenia U21 take on Netherlands U21 on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija. Slovenia U21 are 3rd with 16 points from 10 games, while Netherlands U21 sit 1st on 26 points.
Form guide
Slovenia U21's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Israel U21 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Netherlands U21's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Norway U21 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Slovenia U21 and 1.8 for Netherlands U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Netherlands U21 to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Slovenia U21 0–1 Netherlands U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slovenia U2116%fair 6.22 · @8.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.80
Netherlands U2166%fair 1.52 · @1.29
2.54Expected goals
0.72Slovenia U21 xG
1.82Netherlands U21 xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Slovenia U21 0.7 – 1.8 Netherlands U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Netherlands U21 to win✓
66%
1.52
1.29
Double chance
Netherlands U21 or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Netherlands U21 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Netherlands U21 / FT Netherlands U21✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.96
–
Form
Slovenia U21 – last 4
LDWD
29 Sep
vs Israel U21
2–3
L
5 Jun
vs Albania U21
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Norway U21
2–0
W
27 Mar
@ Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Netherlands U21 – last 3
DWL
25 Sep
vs Norway U21
0–0
D
30 Mar
vs Belgium U21
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Norway U21
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovenia U21 and Netherlands U21.
What is the prediction for Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21?
Our pick is Netherlands U21 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21?
On our numbers Slovenia U21 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Netherlands U21 66%.
How many goals will there be in Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21?
Our predicted score is Slovenia U21 0–1 Netherlands U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21?
Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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