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UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Rugby Park
5–2
FT

Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultScotland U21 to win ✓74% · @1.15
Double chanceScotland U21 or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79

Win chances

Scotland U2174%fair 1.35 · @1.15
Draw16%fair 6.31 · @6.50
Azerbaijan U2110%fair 9.90 · @13.00
3.31Expected goals
2.50Scotland U21 xG
0.81Azerbaijan U21 xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Scotland U21 2.5 – 0.8 Azerbaijan U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Scotland U21 are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 10% for Azerbaijan U21.

Scotland U21 have taken 1 points from their last 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Azerbaijan U21 have 5 points from their last 5 (1W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.

We expect around 3.3 goals (2.5 for Scotland U21, 0.8 for Azerbaijan U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultScotland U21 to win ✓74%1.351.15
Double chanceScotland U21 or draw ✓90%1.111.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultScotland U21 ahead at half-time ✓55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Scotland U21 / FT Scotland U21 ✓50%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%8.79–

Form

Scotland U21 – last 2

LD
31 Mar@ Portugal U210–3L
27 Marvs Czech Republic U210–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Azerbaijan U21 – last 5

DLWDL
25 Sepvs Czech Republic U211–1D
9 Junvs Kyrgyz Republic U201–3L
6 Junvs Bahrain U203–0W
31 Mar@ Bulgaria U210–0D
27 Marvs Portugal U210–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Scotland U21 and Azerbaijan U21.

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U2110802+1524
2Croatia U2110712+1522
3Finland U2110613+519
4Austria U2110514+916
5Azerbaijan U2110217-127
6Estonia U21100010-320

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?

On our numbers Scotland U21 have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Azerbaijan U21 10%.

How many goals will there be in Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?

Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.