Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bulgaria U21 2.3 – 0.6 Azerbaijan U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bulgaria U21 are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 8% for Azerbaijan U21.
Bulgaria U21 have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Azerbaijan U21 have 0 points from their last 1 (0W 0D 1L), averaging 0.0 scored and 4.0 conceded. Bulgaria U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.3 for Bulgaria U21, 0.6 for Azerbaijan U21). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.20 is our value angle (50% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bulgaria U21 to win ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Bulgaria U21 or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Bulgaria U21 ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bulgaria U21 / FT Bulgaria U21 ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.05 | – |
Form
Bulgaria U21 – last 1
| 27 Mar | @ Gibraltar U21 | 1–0 | W |
Azerbaijan U21 – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Portugal U21 | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bulgaria U21 and Azerbaijan U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Norway U21 | 10 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Croatia U21 | 10 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  Finland U21 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Austria U21 | 10 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estonia U21 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions
League hub
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Gibraltar U210
Kazakhstan U210
Republic of Ireland U211Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
On our numbers Bulgaria U21 have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Azerbaijan U21 8%.
How many goals will there be in Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.