Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.75 – our chance 52% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +42%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Italy U21 2.5 – 0.9 North Macedonia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Italy U21 are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 11% for North Macedonia U21.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.5 for Italy U21, 0.9 for North Macedonia U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.75 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Italy U21 to win ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Double chance | Italy U21 or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.75 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Half-time result | Italy U21 ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Italy U21 / FT Italy U21 ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.67 | – |
Form
Italy U21
No recent results on record.
North Macedonia U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Italy U21 and North Macedonia U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy U21 | 10 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 |  Republic of Ireland U21 | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sweden U21 | 10 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Montenegro U21 | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Luxembourg U21 | 10 | -24 | 1 |
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France U215Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
On our numbers Italy U21 have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and North Macedonia U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Castellani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.