Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIceland U21 to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceIceland U21 or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21 preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA U21 Championship Qualification sees Iceland U21 take on Estonia U21 on Thursday 26 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Throttarvollur. Iceland U21 are 9th with 12 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Estonia U21 sit 6th on 0 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Iceland U21 and 0.8 for Estonia U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iceland U21 70%, draw 19%, Estonia U21 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iceland U21 to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Iceland U21 2–0 Estonia U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iceland U2170%fair 1.43 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.50
Estonia U2111%fair 9.31 · @13.00
3.10Expected goals
2.29Iceland U21 xG
0.81Estonia U21 xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Iceland U21 2.3 – 0.8 Estonia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iceland U21 to win✓
70%
1.43
1.20
Double chance
Iceland U21 or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Iceland U21 ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iceland U21 / FT Iceland U21✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Iceland U21
No recent results on record.
Estonia U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iceland U21 and Estonia U21.
What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
Our pick is Iceland U21 to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
On our numbers Iceland U21 have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Estonia U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
Our predicted score is Iceland U21 2–0 Estonia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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