Gibraltar vs Latvia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gibraltar 0.5 – 1.8 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Latvia travel as clear favourites – 69% to win, against 9% for Gibraltar.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.5 for Gibraltar, 1.8 for Latvia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (19%), 0–2 (16%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Latvia to win ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | Latvia or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Latvia ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Latvia / FT Latvia ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 19% | 5.39 | – |
Form
Gibraltar
No recent results on record.
Latvia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gibraltar and Latvia.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Malta0
Luxembourg2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gibraltar vs Latvia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gibraltar vs Latvia?
On our numbers Gibraltar have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Latvia 69%.
How many goals will there be in Gibraltar vs Latvia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Gibraltar vs Latvia?
Gibraltar vs Latvia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.