Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Centenario
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo prediction & analysis
Atletico Torque or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30
Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.6 – 0.8 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Torque hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 21% for Racing Montevideo.
Atletico Torque have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Racing Montevideo have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Atletico Torque come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 for Atletico Torque, 0.8 for Racing Montevideo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).
Our pick is Atletico Torque or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Atletico Torque to win at 1.95 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Torque to win | 58% | 1.73 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Atletico Torque or draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque | 34% | 2.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 14% | 7.34 | – |
Form
Atletico Torque – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Libertad San Carlos | 6–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ Boston River | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Penarol | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Cerro | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Atletico-MG | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Albion FC | 1–2 | L |
Racing Montevideo – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Cerro Largo | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Defensor Sporting | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Wanderers | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Juventud | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Penarol | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Progreso | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Racing Montevideo.
More Primera División Apertura predictions
Cerro Largo
Progreso
1XCerro Largo or draw
84%@1.25
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Atletico Torque or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Racing Montevideo 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo?
Atletico Torque vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.