USL Championship · USA · Heart Health Park
Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sacramento Republic hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for El Paso Locomotive.
Sacramento Republic have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. El Paso Locomotive have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Sacramento Republic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Sacramento Republic, 0.8 for El Paso Locomotive). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 1, El Paso Locomotive have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sacramento Republic to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Sacramento Republic or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Sacramento Republic ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.71 | – |
Form
Sacramento Republic – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs FC Tulsa | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Oakland Roots | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Colorado Springs | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ FC Tulsa | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Oct | vs Las Vegas Lights | 3–2 | W |
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs San Antonio | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs New Mexico United | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Sacramento Republic | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Orange County SC | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Lexington | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs FC Tulsa | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 18 Oct 2026 | El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic | 0–1 |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive | 1–2 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and El Paso Locomotive 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.