USL Championship · USA · Lynn Family Stadium

Louisville City

DDWWW
3–2
FT

Miami FC

DLLWW

Louisville City vs Miami FC prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLouisville City to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Win chances

Louisville City61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Miami FC18%fair 5.47 · @4.75
3.06Expected goals
2.04Louisville City xG
1.03Miami FC xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Louisville City 2.0 – 1.0 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Louisville City are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Miami FC.

Louisville City have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.2 per game. Miami FC have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Louisville City come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 for Louisville City, 1.0 for Miami FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Louisville City have won 0, Miami FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.64.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✓61%1.651.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.57
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Form

Louisville City – last 6

DDWWWW
30 Octvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0D
25 Octvs Detroit City0–0D
22 Oct@ Sporting JAX2–0W
18 Octvs Indy Eleven4–1W
10 Oct@ Charleston Battery2–0W
4 Oct@ Hartford Athletic1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Miami FC – last 6

DLLWWW
31 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1D
18 Octvs Charleston Battery1–2L
11 Octvs Loudoun United0–2L
4 Oct@ Tampa Bay Rowdies2–1W
1 Octvs Sporting JAX4–1W
27 Sep@ Indy Eleven2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Miami FC v Louisville City4–3

More USL Championship predictions

FT Charleston Battery3 Hartford Athletic3 Pens 5–4 652411 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT New Mexico United4 Colorado Springs0 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT Sacramento Republic2 El Paso Locomotive1 602317 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Louisville City vs Miami FC?

On our numbers Louisville City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Miami FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Miami FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Louisville City vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.