Premier League · Mauritania
Chemal
AC Douane
Chemal vs AC Douane prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chemal 1.0 – 1.2 AC Douane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AC Douane shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 34% for Chemal.
Chemal have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. AC Douane have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Chemal, 1.2 for AC Douane). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.97 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AC Douane to win ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.27 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.97 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.51 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AC Douane / FT AC Douane ✗ | 23% | 4.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.89 | – |
Form
Chemal – last 6
| 26 Oct | vs Gendrim | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Police | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | vs Pompiers | 1–0 | W |
| 12 May | vs Nouakchott King's | 3–4 | L |
| 14 Mar | vs N'Zidane | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Mar | @ Gendrim | 1–2 | L |
AC Douane – last 6
| 29 Oct | @ Nouakchott King's | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Gendrim | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Hafia | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Hafia | 2–2 | D |
| 19 May | vs Gendrim | 0–1 | L |
| 4 May | vs Nouadhibou | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemal and AC Douane.
More Premier League predictions
Nouakchott King's1
Nouadhibou1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.34
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chemal vs AC Douane?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chemal vs AC Douane?
On our numbers Chemal have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Douane 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chemal vs AC Douane?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Chemal vs AC Douane?
Chemal vs AC Douane (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:50 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.