Premier League · Mauritania

Nouakchott King's

LLWWL
1–1
FT

Nouadhibou

WWLDD

Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.34Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultNouadhibou to win ✗62% · @1.60
Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✓82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.97

Win chances

Nouakchott King's18%fair 5.56 · @4.95
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.38
Nouadhibou62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
2.49Expected goals
0.76Nouakchott King's xG
1.72Nouadhibou xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Nouakchott King's 0.8 – 1.7 Nouadhibou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Nouadhibou travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 18% for Nouakchott King's.

Nouakchott King's have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Nouadhibou have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Nouakchott King's, 1.7 for Nouadhibou). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Nouakchott King's have won 1, Nouadhibou have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.44. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.04 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNouadhibou to win ✗62%1.611.60
Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✓82%1.221.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.852.04 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nouadhibou / FT Nouadhibou ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%6.97–

Form

Nouakchott King's – last 6

LLWWLD
29 Octvs AC Douane2–4L
17 Oct@ N'Zidane0–2L
17 Mayvs Nouadhibou3–2W
12 May@ Chemal4–3W
7 Mayvs Nouakchott Academie1–2L
3 Aprvs Pompiers0–0D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nouadhibou – last 6

WWLDDL
29 Octvs SNIM1–0W
25 Octvs San-Pédro2–0W
17 Oct@ San-Pédro1–2L
13 Sepvs Vipers0–0D
5 Sep@ Vipers1–1D
17 May@ Nouakchott King's2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Nouakchott King's v Nouadhibou3–2

More Premier League predictions

FT Chemal2 AC Douane1 342343 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

On our numbers Nouakchott King's have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nouadhibou 62%.

How many goals will there be in Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.