Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.5 – 0.6 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Ferro Carril Oeste have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Gimnasia Y Tiro have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Ferro Carril Oeste, 0.6 for Gimnasia Y Tiro). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ferro Carril Oeste to win | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Ferro Carril Oeste or draw | 84% | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 19% | 5.31 | – |
Form
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Acassuso | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Chaco For Ever | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Racing Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Central Norte | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Deportivo Madryn | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Defensores De Belgrano | 1–0 | W |
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Quilmes | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Midland | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Atlanta | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ San Martin Tucuman | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Atletico DE Rafaela | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.