Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Abel Sastre
Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.6 – 0.7 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportivo Madryn hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 16% for Deportivo Maipu.
Deportivo Madryn have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Deportivo Maipu have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Deportivo Madryn, 0.7 for Deportivo Maipu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Madryn to win | 58% | 1.71 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Deportivo Madryn or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 16% | 6.15 | – |
Form
Deportivo Madryn – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ San Miguel | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs San Telmo | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Acassuso | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Chaco For Ever | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ Ferro Carril Oeste | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Central Norte | 0–0 | D |
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Tristan Suarez | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Club Atlético Güemes | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs San Martin S.J. | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Oct | @ Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Temperley | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Madryn and Deportivo Maipu.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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MidlandFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Maipu 16%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.