Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Morelos
Monarcas
Venados FC
Monarcas vs Venados FC prediction & analysis
Monarcas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.1 – 1.0 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Monarcas are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Venados FC.
Monarcas have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Venados FC have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Venados FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Monarcas, 1.0 for Venados FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Monarcas have won 1, Venados FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Monarcas to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Monarcas to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Monarcas or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Monarcas ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.09 | – |
Form
Monarcas – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Durango | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | @ Tapatío | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs CDS Tampico Madero | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Tepatitlán | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Tlaxcala | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Venados FC | 1–2 | L |
Venados FC – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Correcaminos Uat | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Durango | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Cancún | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Leones Negros UDG | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ CA La Paz | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Monarcas | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 27 Sep 2026 | Venados FC v Monarcas | 2–1 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Monarcas v Venados FC | 2–1 |
More Liga De Expansión MX predictions
CA La Paz3
Tlaxcala3
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
69%@1.33
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Monarcas vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Venados FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Monarcas vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.