Primera C · ArgentinaLeones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas prediction & analysis
Leones de Rosario or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.21
Value bet: Leones de Rosario to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leones de Rosario 1.6 – 0.7 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leones de Rosario are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Sportivo Barracas.
Leones de Rosario have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Sportivo Barracas have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Leones de Rosario come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Leones de Rosario, 0.7 for Sportivo Barracas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Leones de Rosario have won 2, Sportivo Barracas have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Leones de Rosario or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Leones de Rosario to win at 1.91 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leones de Rosario to win | 62% | 1.62 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Leones de Rosario or draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leones de Rosario / FT Leones de Rosario | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 16% | 6.19 | – |
Form
Leones de Rosario – last 6
| 26 Oct | vs Mercedes | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Fénix | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Oct | @ Sportivo Barracas | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | vs Lujan | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ General Lamadrid | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Lugano | 0–0 | D |
Sportivo Barracas – last 6
| 26 Oct | @ Sacachispas | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | vs Sacachispas | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Oct | @ General Lamadrid | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Oct | vs Leones de Rosario | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Atletico Atlas | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Canuelas | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Oct 2026 | Sportivo Barracas v Leones de Rosario | 0–2 |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Leones de Rosario v Sportivo Barracas | 2–0 |
Primera C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lujan | 32 | +24 | 64 |
| 2 |  Canuelas | 32 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Español | 32 | +10 | 52 |
| 4 |  Leones de Rosario | 32 | +6 | 51 |
| 5 |  Central Cordoba | 32 | +9 | 49 |
| 6 |  General Lamadrid | 32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 |  Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 |  El Porvenir | 32 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 |  Central Ballester | 32 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 |  Atletico Atlas | 32 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 |  Claypole | 32 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 |  Yupanqui | 32 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 |  Fénix | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 32 | -15 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our pick is Leones de Rosario or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
On our numbers Leones de Rosario have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Barracas 17%.
How many goals will there be in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?
Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.