USL Championship · USA · Lynn Family StadiumLouisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds prediction & analysis
Louisville City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Louisville City 1.8 – 0.8 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Louisville City are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Louisville City have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Louisville City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Louisville City, 0.8 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Louisville City have won 0, Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Louisville City to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Louisville City to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Louisville City or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Louisville City ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.61 | – |
Form
Louisville City – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Detroit City | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Oct | @ Sporting JAX | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Indy Eleven | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Charleston Battery | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Hartford Athletic | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Hartford Athletic | 2–2 | D |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Birmingham Legion | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Rhode Island | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Hartford Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Orange County SC | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Detroit City | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Loudoun United | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Jul 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Louisville City | 3–1 |
| 10 May 2026 | Louisville City v Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–2 |
USL Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 30 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 30 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 30 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 30 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 30 | -46 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 18%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.