Sergipano 2 · Brazil

Socorro Sport

LWD
2–3
FT

Estanciano

LWD

Socorro Sport vs Estanciano prediction & analysis

86%
Footrivo pick

Socorro Sport or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Socorro Sport to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSocorro Sport to win ✗62% · @1.82
Double chanceSocorro Sport or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54

Win chances

Socorro Sport62%fair 1.61 · @1.82
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.54
Estanciano14%fair 6.92 · @3.61
2.43Expected goals
1.73Socorro Sport xG
0.69Estanciano xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Socorro Sport 1.7 – 0.7 Estanciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Socorro Sport are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 14% for Estanciano.

Socorro Sport have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Estanciano have 4 points from their last 3 (1W 1D 1L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Socorro Sport, 0.7 for Estanciano). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Socorro Sport or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Socorro Sport to win at 1.82 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSocorro Sport to win ✗62%1.611.82 ▲
Double chanceSocorro Sport or draw ✗86%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.61
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.962.01
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.401.37
Half-time resultSocorro Sport ahead at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Socorro Sport / FT Socorro Sport39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.54–

Form

Socorro Sport – last 3

LWD
4 Nov@ Maruinense1–3L
1 Novvs Independente Simão Dias5–0W
29 Oct@ Barra SE0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Estanciano – last 3

LWD
4 Novvs Frei Paulistano0–2L
1 Novvs Maruinense1–0W
29 Oct@ Independente Simão Dias1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Socorro Sport and Estanciano.

More Sergipano 2 predictions

Awarded Barra SE Maruinense 231365 2Maruinense to win 65%@1.88

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

Our pick is Socorro Sport or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

On our numbers Socorro Sport have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estanciano 14%.

How many goals will there be in Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

Socorro Sport vs Estanciano (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.