Sergipano 2 · Brazil
Barra SE
Maruinense
Barra SE vs Maruinense prediction & analysis
Maruinense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.88
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barra SE 0.8 – 1.7 Maruinense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Maruinense travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 23% for Barra SE.
Barra SE have taken 2 points from their last 3 matches (0W 2D 1L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Maruinense have 6 points from their last 3 (2W 0D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Maruinense come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.8 for Barra SE, 1.7 for Maruinense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Maruinense to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.88 is better than our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Maruinense to win | 65% | 1.55 | 1.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 87% | 1.15 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | 1.58 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Half-time result | Maruinense ahead at half-time | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Maruinense / FT Maruinense | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 13% | 7.50 | – |
Form
Barra SE – last 3
| 4 Nov | @ Independente Simão Dias | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Nov | @ Frei Paulistano | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Socorro Sport | 0–0 | D |
Maruinense – last 3
| 4 Nov | vs Socorro Sport | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ Estanciano | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Frei Paulistano | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra SE and Maruinense.
More Sergipano 2 predictions
Socorro Sport2
Estanciano3
1XSocorro Sport or draw
86%@1.20
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barra SE vs Maruinense?
Our pick is Maruinense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.88.
Who will win Barra SE vs Maruinense?
On our numbers Barra SE have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Maruinense 65%.
How many goals will there be in Barra SE vs Maruinense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Barra SE vs Maruinense?
Barra SE vs Maruinense (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.