Cup · Bosnia
Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo prediction & analysis
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sloboda Tuzla 0.8 – 2.1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 13% for Sloboda Tuzla.
Sloboda Tuzla have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Sloboda Tuzla come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.8 for Sloboda Tuzla, 2.1 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sloboda Tuzla have won 1, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo / FT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 12% | 8.46 | – |
Form
Sloboda Tuzla – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Stupčanica Olovo | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Jedinstvo Bihać | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Travnik | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Posušje | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ GOŠK Gabela | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Radnik Hadžići | 3–0 | W |
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ FK Sarajevo | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ BSK Banja Luka | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Radnik Bijeljina | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Čelik | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Sloga Doboj | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs FK Sarajevo | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo v Sloboda Tuzla | 0–3 |
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Zrinjski3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Our pick is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
On our numbers Sloboda Tuzla have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.