Jamaica vs Mexico prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jamaica 0.8 – 1.9 Mexico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mexico travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 16% for Jamaica.
Jamaica have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Mexico have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Jamaica come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.8 for Jamaica, 1.9 for Mexico). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mexico to win | 64% | 1.56 | 1.59 |
| Double chance | Mexico or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Half-time result | Mexico ahead at half-time | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mexico / FT Mexico | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 13% | 7.50 | – |
Form
Jamaica – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Honduras | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ El Salvador | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Honduras | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Guatemala | 3–2 | W |
| 27 May | vs India | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Congo DR | 0–0 | D |
Mexico – last 6
| 7 Oct | vs Chile | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ USA | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Peru | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Colombia | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jul | vs England | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Jul | vs Ecuador | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Mexico.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jamaica vs Mexico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jamaica vs Mexico?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mexico 64%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Mexico?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Jamaica vs Mexico?
Jamaica vs Mexico (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.